Eastleigh vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Sutton Utd?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Eastleigh (1,695) and Sutton Utd (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sutton Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eastleigh win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sutton Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Eastleigh 0-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Sutton Utd 2-1 Eastleigh | National League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Sutton Utd 1-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Eastleigh 1-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Eastleigh 1-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Sutton Utd 3-0 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: Eastleigh vs Sutton Utd on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 8th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Sutton Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Sutton Utd played?
- Eastleigh vs Sutton Utd is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.