Forest Green vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Forest Green. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Carlisle?
On Elo ratings, Forest Green has 1,900 points and Carlisle 1,979.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Forest Green vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Forest Green
4-3-3- 7K. McAllister
- 20Sean Etaluku
- 19J. Marquez
- 6T. Campbell
- 29K. Abrefa
- 4J. Clarke
- 5K. Ajayi
- 27F. Sass
- 26Filozofe Mabete
- 3N. Kengni
- 1E. Ross
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Forest Green wins, 1 draw, 2 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Carlisle 1-1 Forest Green | National League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Forest Green 1-3 Carlisle | National League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Carlisle 4-2 Forest Green | National League |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Forest Green 3-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Carlisle 0-2 Forest Green | League Two |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Carlisle 1-2 Forest Green | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Forest Green on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 16th in National League (15 points from 12 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Forest Green vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Forest Green.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Carlisle played?
- Forest Green vs Carlisle is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.