Carlisle vs Oxford United: result 2-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 25, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Oxford United?
Carlisle won 2-1 on October 25, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 45′D. HyltonOxford United
- 73′M. BeckCarlisle
- 89′Derek AsamoahCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Oxford United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2014 | Burton Albion(home) | 3-4 | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Plymouth(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Stevenage(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2014 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Hartlepool(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2014 | Northampton(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Tranmere(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-5 | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Luton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford United score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Oxford United | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy