Oxford United vs Tottenham Hotspur U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Oxford United the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Tottenham Hotspur U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Oxford United (1,826) and Tottenham Hotspur U21 (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 1, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Oxford United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tottenham Hotspur U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | Oxford United 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur U21 | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 18, 2018 | Oxford United 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Oxford United vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 on Oct 26, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham Hotspur U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
- The Footlab model makes Oxford United the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Tottenham Hotspur U21.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 played?
- Oxford United vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.