Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed
Full time
What was the result of Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Carmarthen Town and Caerau (Ely) drew 1-1 on November 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′623822Carmarthen Town
- 63′C. LewisCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dolgellau Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Newport City(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Morriston Town(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Carmarthen Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 1-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 2-4 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Caerau (Ely) 0-4 Carmarthen Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Carmarthen Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 0.9 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carmarthen Town sit 4th in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2025Pontypridd Town2-1Trethomas Bluebirds
- Nov 28, 2025Baglan Dragons0-3Ammanford AFC
- Nov 29, 2025Llantwit Major1-0Afan Lido
- Nov 29, 2025Ynyshir Albions1-0Cwmbran Celtic
- Nov 29, 2025Treowen Stars2-0Newport City
- Nov 29, 2025Aberystwyth Town1-2Cambrian & Clydach
- Mar 4, 2026Trefelin3-1Cardiff Draconians