Carrarese vs Lucchese: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 11, 2016 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Full time
What was the result of Carrarese vs Lucchese?
Carrarese and Lucchese drew 1-1 on December 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 49′L. MiracoliCarrarese
- 87′F. ForteLucchese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lucchese have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | Pontedera(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Olbia(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Viterbese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Alessandria(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Como(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2016 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 5, 2016 | Robur Siena(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Pistoiese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Racing Roma(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Renate(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lucchese | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy