Cesena vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cesena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cesena vs Carrarese?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Cesena (1,794) and Carrarese (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cesena vs Carrarese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 27M. Dalla Vecchia
- 80A. Fiori
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 32E. Bohinen
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 7G. Frabotta
- 1A. Siano
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Carrarese have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cesena wins, 1 draw, 2 Carrarese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Carrarese 0-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Cesena 2-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Carrarese 2-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Cesena 2-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Carrarese 3-2 Cesena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Cesena 2-1 Carrarese | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cesena sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Carrarese sit 19th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Cesena vs Carrarese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Cesena vs Carrarese played?
- Cesena vs Carrarese is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.