Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vicenza Virtus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,085 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,823) and Vicenza Virtus (1,912).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 73J. Rouhi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 23M. Braunöder
- 28J. Martini
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Vicenza Virtus
3-5-2- 33S. Merkaj
- 7N. Rauti
- 8A. Bellemo
- 32F. Costa
- 4M. Carraro
- 28L. Caferri
- 10M. Valoti
- 5R. Marchizza
- 23N. Brighenti
- 66A. Papetti
- 16R. Gagno
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Carrarese win, 1 draw, 0 Vicenza Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2024 | Carrarese 1-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Vicenza Virtus 0-0 Carrarese | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus on Jun 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 17th in Serie B (10 points from 11 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 18th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
A question about Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Carrarese vs Vicenza Virtus is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.