Empoli vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mantova wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Empoli (1,741) and Mantova (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Empoli vs Mantova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Empoli
3-5-2- 10E. Saporiti
- 11S. Shpendi
- 8L. Magnino
- 91N. Corrado
- 15J. Ceesay
- 39E. Biondini
- 21Gerard Yepes
- 33C. Cauz
- 25M. Curto
- 6S. Romagnoli
- 12J. Seghetti
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 30D. Bragantini
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 19F. Ruocco
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mantova have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Empoli win, 1 draw, 1 Mantova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova 3-1 Empoli | Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Empoli 2-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Mantova 0-1 Empoli | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 13th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Mantova sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Empoli vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Mantova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Mantova played?
- Empoli vs Mantova is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.