Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Carrick Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrick Rangers have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Glentoran have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carrick Rangers win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Glentoran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Glentoran 1-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 0-7 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Glentoran 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 0-0 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Glentoran 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Carrick Rangers 2-3 Glentoran | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrick Rangers sit 6th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Glentoran sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Carrick Rangers.
- Where and when is Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran played?
- Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Loughview Leisure Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.