Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Seaview, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Crusaders FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Crusaders FC (1,458) and Carrick Rangers (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crusaders FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crusaders FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Carrick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 6-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Crusaders FC 2-2 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Crusaders FC 3-4 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Carrick Rangers 0-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Carrick Rangers 3-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crusaders FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crusaders FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crusaders FC sit 4th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Crusaders FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Crusaders FC.
- Where and when is Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Seaview, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.