Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 0-4 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Chatham Town 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Chatham Town 3-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 2-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 2-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Chatham Town 2-2 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town played?
- Carshalton Athletic vs Chatham Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.