Cray Wanderers vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,821) and Carshalton Athletic (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cray Wanderers win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 1-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 2-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 1-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 1-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Cray Wanderers on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Carshalton Athletic is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.