Cartagena LU II vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, Cartagena
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cartagena LU II vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Cartagena LU II (1,690) and Santa Cruz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cartagena LU II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cartagena LU II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II 0-1 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz 0-2 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Santa Cruz on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartagena LU II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cartagena LU II sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cartagena LU II vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Cartagena LU II.
- Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Santa Cruz played?
- Cartagena LU II vs Santa Cruz is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.