Santomera vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs SFC Minerva?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Santomera (1,761) and SFC Minerva (1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs SFC Minerva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; SFC Minerva have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Santomera win, 2 draws, 1 SFC Minerva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | SFC Minerva 1-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Santomera 3-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | SFC Minerva 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Santomera 0-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Santomera on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 13th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 13 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Santomera vs SFC Minerva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is Santomera vs SFC Minerva played?
- Santomera vs SFC Minerva is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsÁguilas II
- May 9, 2027Mazarrón FCvsAlcantarilla
- May 9, 2027Olímpico TotanavsEl Palmar
- May 9, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsSanta Cruz
- May 9, 2027AlgarvsLos Garres
- May 9, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsUnión Molinense
- May 9, 2027Bullas DeportivovsUCAM Murcia II
- May 9, 2027San JaviervsBala Azul