Where and when is Santomera vs SFC Minerva played?

Santomera vs SFC Minerva is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santomera vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

Santomera

SFC Minerva

The Footlab model makes Santomera the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs SFC Minerva?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Santomera (1,687) and SFC Minerva (1,697).

Santomera win43 %

Draw28 %

SFC Minerva win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cieza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cartagena LU II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SFC Minerva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Santa Cruz(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santomera(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Santomera win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SFC Minerva win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	SFC Minerva 1-0 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 6, 2025	Santomera 3-1 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 6, 2025	SFC Minerva 2-2 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 24, 2024	Santomera 0-0 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Santomera on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santomera	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	10/15
SFC Minerva	0.9	1.3	5	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	SFC Minerva	34	11	11	12	28	39	44
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38	64	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs SFC Minerva?: The Footlab model makes Santomera the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for SFC Minerva.
Where and when is Santomera vs SFC Minerva played?: Santomera vs SFC Minerva is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.