Algar vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar
The Footlab AI model makes Algar the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Algar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algar vs Los Garres?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Algar (1,576) and Los Garres (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Algar vs Los Garres
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Algar
4-3-3- AAdrian Marty
- AAlejandro Martin
- NNasta
- MMichel Vidal
- MManuel Rodriguez
- SSergio Jiménez
- CChiqui
- LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
- DDani Ruiz
- JJuan Gavilánez
- GGuillermo Yepes Moreno
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Los Garres have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algar | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algar sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (3 points from 6 matches) and Los Garres sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Algar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Algar vs Los Garres?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algar vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab AI model makes Algar the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Algar vs Los Garres played?
- Algar vs Los Garres is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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