Casa Pia vs Arouca: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 18, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
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What was the result of Casa Pia vs Arouca?
Casa Pia won 1-0 on February 18, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 74′ClaytonCasa Pia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Arouca have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Boavista(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-8 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Famalicao(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | FC Porto(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Portimonense(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Vizela(home) | 5-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Estoril(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Casa Pia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2021 | Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Arouca | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Pia sit 18th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy