Casale vs Lucchese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 6, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Natale Palli, Casale Monferrato
Full time
What was the result of Casale vs Lucchese?
Casale won 2-1 on October 6, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Casale have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Lucchese have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2019 | Borgosesia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Bra(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Vado(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Lavagnese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Fezzanese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2019 | Sanremese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Real Forte Querceta(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Chieri(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Casale score 0.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 5; Lucchese score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casale | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Lucchese | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy