Match

Casarano vs Bari: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano

CasaranoBari

The Footlab AI model makes Casarano the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casarano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Casarano vs Bari?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Casarano (1,770) and Bari (1,783).

41%28%31%
Casarano winDrawBari win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Casarano vs Bari

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Casarano

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Chiricò
  2. 11V. Ferrara
  3. 9F. Grandolfo
  1. 23G. Logoluso
  2. 17R. Maiello
  3. 21N. Zanellato
  1. 33M. Mercadante
  2. 2P. Ciotti
  3. 36E. Matino
  4. 3F. Giraudo
  1. 97A. Farroni

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 5E. Darboe
  3. 21M. Della Morte
  4. 11A. Tribuzzi
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casarano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Casarano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Salernitana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Sorrento(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026SS Monopoli(home)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Savoia(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Giugliano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Casarano win, 0 draws, 2 Bari wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Bari 1-0 CasaranoSerie C - Girone C
Aug 16, 2026Bari 1-0 CasaranoCoppa Italia Serie C
Aug 4, 2025Bari 2-3 CasaranoFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Bari vs Casarano on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Casarano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Casarano1.21.345/156/15
Bari1.30.6104/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Casarano sit 14th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bari961213619
14Casarano9324101311

A question about Casarano vs Bari?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Casarano vs Bari?
The Footlab AI model makes Casarano the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bari.
Where and when is Casarano vs Bari played?
Casarano vs Bari is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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