Cavese vs Salernitana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
The Footlab AI model makes Cavese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Salernitana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cavese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavese vs Salernitana?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Cavese (1,784) and Salernitana (1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cavese vs Salernitana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cavese
4-3-3- 24F. Orlando
- 82G. Fusco
- 7E. Minaj
- 5T. Awua
- 20G. Esposito
- 4E. Visconti
- 25Manuel Peretti
- 17F. Nunziata
- 28T. Mannucci
- 77M. Macchi
- 12V. Boffelli
Salernitana
3-5-2- 11E. D'Ursi
- 20A. La Gumina
- 16M. Llano
- 32M. Vitale
- 8M. Tascone
- 6K. de Boer
- 4E. Gyabuaa
- 73S. Pieraccini
- 5D. Celiento
- 33A. Anastasio
- 12C. Galeotti
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Salernitana have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cavese wins, 2 draws, 1 Salernitana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Salernitana 1-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cavese 1-1 Salernitana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Salernitana 3-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Cavese score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salernitana score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Salernitana | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavese sit 11th in Serie C - Girone C (12 points from 9 matches) and Salernitana sit 9th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Cavese vs Salernitana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavese vs Salernitana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cavese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Salernitana.
- Where and when is Cavese vs Salernitana played?
- Cavese vs Salernitana is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.