Audace Cerignola vs Foggia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
The Footlab model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Foggia. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Foggia?
Audace Cerignola starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Audace Cerignola have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Foggia have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Audace Cerignola win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Foggia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Foggia 1-3 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 0-0 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 3-2 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Foggia 0-1 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Foggia 1-2 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Audace Cerignola 2-0 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Foggia vs Audace Cerignola on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Audace Cerignola score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Foggia score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Foggia | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Audace Cerignola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Audace Cerignola vs Foggia?
- The Footlab model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Foggia.
- Where and when is Audace Cerignola vs Foggia played?
- Audace Cerignola vs Foggia is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.