Casarano vs Catania: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Catania wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casarano vs Catania?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Casarano (1,770) and Catania (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casarano vs Catania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casarano
4-3-3- 10C. Chiricò
- 11V. Ferrara
- 9F. Grandolfo
- 23G. Logoluso
- 17R. Maiello
- 21N. Zanellato
- 33M. Mercadante
- 2P. Ciotti
- 36E. Matino
- 3F. Giraudo
- 97A. Farroni
Catania
4-3-3- 10E. Cicerelli
- 7G. Bruzzaniti
- 9M. Coda
- 16A. Quaini
- 4A. Vallocchia
- 18N. Cavuoti
- 15M. Di Gennaro
- 32E. Masciangelo
- 68M. Ierardi
- 5M. Perrotta
- 57A. Dini
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casarano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Catania have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Casarano win, 1 draw, 0 Catania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Catania 1-1 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Casarano 1-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Casarano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Catania score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casarano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Catania | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casarano sit 14th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 9 matches) and Catania sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Catania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 14 | Casarano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Casarano vs Catania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casarano vs Catania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Casarano.
- Where and when is Casarano vs Catania played?
- Casarano vs Catania is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.