Foggia vs Casertana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Foggia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casertana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foggia vs Casertana?
Casertana starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Foggia vs Casertana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Foggia
4-2-3-1- 16H. Haoudi
- 14F. Zuccon
- 4A. Gallo
- 8M. Coulibaly
- 37Valdes Ngana
- 7E. Oviszach
- 2G. Todisco
- 21F. Berra
- 3M. Seck
- 6D. Di Pasquale
- 22G. Saro
Casertana
3-5-2- 10J. Manconi
- 9D. Castelli
- 18S. Oukhadda
- 21F. Vezzoni
- 16S. Pezzella
- 8S. Girelli
- 32F. Di Tacchio
- 23P. Martino
- 4I. Kontek
- 11G. Favale
- 1V. De Lucia
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foggia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Casertana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cosenza(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Inter U23(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Foggia wins, 2 draws, 4 Casertana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Casertana 3-2 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Foggia 1-1 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Casertana 4-0 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Foggia 0-0 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Foggia 0-2 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Casertana 2-1 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Foggia score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Casertana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foggia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Casertana | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foggia sit 13th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 9 matches) and Casertana sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Casertana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 13 | Foggia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Foggia vs Casertana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foggia vs Casertana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Foggia.
- Where and when is Foggia vs Casertana played?
- Foggia vs Casertana is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.