Castanhal vs Águia de Marabá: result 1-2 and analysis
ParaenseQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 8, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará
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What was the result of Castanhal vs Águia de Marabá?
Águia de Marabá won 1-2 on April 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 43′Luam ParedeÁguia de Marabá
- 84′?Águia de Marabá
- 90′?Castanhal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castanhal have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Águia de Marabá have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Caeté(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Remo(home) | 2-3 | Paraense |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Itupiranga(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Cametá(away) | 2-2 | Paraense |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Paysandu(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Independente PA(home) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Bragantino PA(away) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Goias(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Caeté(home) | 2-0 | Paraense |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Tapajós(home) | 4-1 | Paraense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Castanhal win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Águia de Marabá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Castanhal 1-1 Águia de Marabá | Paraense |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Castanhal 0-1 Águia de Marabá | Paraense |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Águia de Marabá 0-0 Castanhal | Paraense |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Águia de Marabá 1-0 Castanhal | Paraense |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Castanhal 2-2 Águia de Marabá | Paraense |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Águia de Marabá 2-1 Castanhal | Paraense |
Last archived meeting: Castanhal vs Águia de Marabá on Feb 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Castanhal score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Águia de Marabá score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Águia de Marabá | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castanhal sit 7th in Paraense (8 points from 6 matches) and Águia de Marabá sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Águia de Marabá | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy