Castanhal vs Itupiranga: result 1-0 and analysis
Paraense1st Phase - 2Kick-off on March 5, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará
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What was the result of Castanhal vs Itupiranga?
Castanhal won 1-0 on March 5, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 12′Adilson Ferreira GomesCastanhal (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Castanhal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Itupiranga have 3, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | Paysandu(away) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Aug 20, 2020 | Remo(away) | 0-2 | Paraense |
| Aug 13, 2020 | Remo(home) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Independente PA(home) | 2-1 | Paraense |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Tapajós(home) | 2-1 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2021 | Paragominas(home) | 1-3 | Paraense |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Paysandu(home) | 1-4 | Paraense |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Carajás(home) | 3-2 | Paraense |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Tapajós(away) | 0-0 | Paraense |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 0-1 | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Castanhal score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Itupiranga score 1.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/13 | 9/13 |
| Itupiranga | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy