Castellón vs Sabadell: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Sabadell. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Sabadell?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Castellón (2,019) and Sabadell (2,001).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sabadell have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Girona(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olot(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Castellón win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sabadell win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Castellón 2-0 Sabadell | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sabadell 3-1 Castellón | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Castellón 3-1 Sabadell | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Sabadell 1-3 Castellón | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Castellón 0-1 Sabadell | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Castellón 2-1 Sabadell | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Castellón vs Sabadell on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sabadell score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Sabadell | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 7th in Segunda División (3 points from 1 matches) and Sabadell sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castellón | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Sabadell?
- The Footlab model makes Castellón the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Sabadell.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Sabadell played?
- Castellón vs Sabadell is played on August 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.