Castellonense vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 7Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló
The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellonense vs La Nucía?
On Elo ratings, Castellonense has 1,907 points and La Nucía 1,876.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellonense vs La Nucía
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; La Nucía have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Castellonense wins, 2 draws, 1 La Nucía win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Castellonense 2-0 La Nucía | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | La Nucía 0-2 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 25, 2025 | La Nucía 1-2 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2025 | Castellonense 0-0 La Nucía | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Castellonense 0-2 La Nucía | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | La Nucía 1-1 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Castellonense vs La Nucía on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellonense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 8 matches) and La Nucía sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | La Nucía | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Castellonense vs La Nucía played?
- Castellonense vs La Nucía is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.