Match

Castellonense vs Orihuela: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló

CastellonenseOrihuela

The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellonense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Castellonense vs Orihuela?

On Elo ratings, Castellonense has 1,907 points and Orihuela 1,855.

51%27%22%
Castellonense winDrawOrihuela win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Castellonense vs Orihuela

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Castellonense

Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.

Orihuela

5-4-1
  1. 23Javi Solsona
  1. 17Gonzalo Miranda
  2. 11Joan Monterde
  3. 6F. Rivera
  4. 8José Lara
  1. 20S. Marc
  2. 21L. Booker
  3. 15Carlos Sánchez
  4. 24R. Garcia
  5. 3N. Vila
  1. 1I. Buigues

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Orihuela have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Castellonense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Deportiva Minera(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Oct 4, 2026Real Murcia II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Sep 27, 2026Lorca Deportiva(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Sep 19, 2026Cieza(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Sep 13, 2026Poblense(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Orihuela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Mallorca II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Oct 11, 2026Peña Deportiva(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Oct 4, 2026Cieza(home)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Sep 26, 2026Castellón II(home)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Sep 20, 2026Deportiva Minera(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Castellonense1.51.156/157/15
Orihuela1.11.928/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Castellonense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 6 matches) and Orihuela sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Castellonense640210612
9Orihuela731391410

A question about Castellonense vs Orihuela?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs Orihuela?
The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Orihuela.
Where and when is Castellonense vs Orihuela played?
Castellonense vs Orihuela is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Castellonense and Orihuela

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