Cieza vs Valencia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Arboleja, Cieza
The Footlab model makes Cieza the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Valencia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cieza vs Valencia II?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Cieza (1,943) and Valencia II (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cieza have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Valencia II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Muleño(away) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cieza score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieza | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Valencia II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valencia II | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cieza vs Valencia II?
- The Footlab model makes Cieza the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Valencia II.
- Where and when is Cieza vs Valencia II played?
- Cieza vs Valencia II is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Arboleja, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.