Castro Daire vs Camacha: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, Castro Daire
The Footlab model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Camacha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castro Daire vs Camacha?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Castro Daire (1,752) and Camacha (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro Daire have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Camacha have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ovarense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Anadia(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Leça(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Resende(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Salgueiros(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vilaverdense(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Castro Daire win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Camacha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | Camacha 0-0 Castro Daire | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Castro Daire 1-1 Camacha | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Camacha vs Castro Daire on Jan 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Castro Daire score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Camacha score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro Daire | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Camacha | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro Daire sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (3 points from 2 matches) and Camacha sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Camacha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Castro Daire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castro Daire vs Camacha?
- The Footlab model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Camacha.
- Where and when is Castro Daire vs Camacha played?
- Castro Daire vs Camacha is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.