Castro vs Guarnizo: result 0-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on April 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Guarnizo?
Guarnizo won 0-1 on April 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′614315Guarnizo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Guarnizo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Colindres(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Torina(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Montañas Pas(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Castro wins, 1 draw, 2 Guarnizo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Guarnizo 2-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Castro 3-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Guarnizo 0-2 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Guarnizo 0-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Castro 3-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Guarnizo 4-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guarnizo score 1.4 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Guarnizo | 1.4 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Guarnizo sit 11th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Castro vs Guarnizo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy