Guarnizo vs Castro: result 2-0 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 13Kick-off on December 6, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estadio El Pilar, Guarnizo
Full time
What was the result of Guarnizo vs Castro?
Guarnizo won 2-0 on December 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 49′628222Guarnizo
- 78′614315Guarnizo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarnizo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Castro have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Montañas Pas(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Escobedo(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Vimenor(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tropezón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Colindres(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Selaya(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Laredo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bezana(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Torina(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guarnizo win, 2 draws, 3 Castro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Castro 3-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Guarnizo 0-2 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Guarnizo 0-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Castro 3-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Guarnizo 4-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guarnizo score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Castro score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarnizo | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Castro | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarnizo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Castro sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Guarnizo vs Castro?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy