Castrovillari vs San Luca: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 2Kick-off on September 26, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Castrovillari Mimmo Rende, Castrovillari
Full time
What was the result of Castrovillari vs San Luca?
San Luca won 1-3 on September 26, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 15′?San Luca
- 18′S. NikolićSan Luca
- 67′209560San Luca
- 75′?Castrovillari
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castrovillari have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; San Luca have 1, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2021 | Francavilla(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Gelbison(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Roccella(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 23, 2020 | San Tommaso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Marsala(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2021 | FC Messina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Biancavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Castrovillari score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Luca score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castrovillari | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| San Luca | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy