CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, Favara
The Footlab AI model makes Digiesse PraiaTortora the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Digiesse PraiaTortora wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate CastrumFavara (1,707) and Digiesse PraiaTortora (1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Digiesse PraiaTortora
Not enough data to predict the Digiesse PraiaTortora lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CastrumFavara have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Digiesse PraiaTortora have 5, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modica(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
CastrumFavara score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Digiesse PraiaTortora score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CastrumFavara | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 4/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CastrumFavara sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (8 points from 10 matches) and Digiesse PraiaTortora sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
A question about CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Digiesse PraiaTortora the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora played?
- CastrumFavara vs Digiesse PraiaTortora is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.