Ragusa vs Gela: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Aldo Campo, Ragusa
The Footlab AI model makes Ragusa the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ragusa vs Gela?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Ragusa (1,546) and Gela (1,584).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ragusa vs Gela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ragusa
Not enough data to predict the Ragusa lineup.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ragusa have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Gela have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Licata(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ragusa wins, 0 draws, 2 Gela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Ragusa 2-3 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Gela 2-0 Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Ragusa score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragusa | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ragusa sit 16th in Serie D - Girone I (3 points from 7 matches) and Gela sit 14th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Ragusa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Ragusa vs Gela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ragusa vs Gela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ragusa the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Gela.
- Where and when is Ragusa vs Gela played?
- Ragusa vs Gela is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Aldo Campo, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.