Igea Virtus vs Licata: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres, Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto
The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Igea Virtus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Igea Virtus vs Licata?
Igea Virtus starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Igea Virtus vs Licata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Licata
Not enough data to predict the Licata lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Igea Virtus have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Licata have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enna(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Igea Virtus wins, 1 draw, 1 Licata win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Igea Virtus 5-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Licata 1-1 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Igea Virtus 4-0 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Licata 2-0 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Igea Virtus score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Licata score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igea Virtus | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Licata | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Igea Virtus sit 7th in Serie D - Girone I (11 points from 7 matches) and Licata sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Igea Virtus vs Licata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Igea Virtus vs Licata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Licata.
- Where and when is Igea Virtus vs Licata played?
- Igea Virtus vs Licata is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.