CastrumFavara vs Messina: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 26Kick-off on March 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, Favara
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What was the result of CastrumFavara vs Messina?
CastrumFavara and Messina drew 1-1 on March 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′I. ToureMessina
- 90′574635CastrumFavara (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CastrumFavara have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Messina have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Vibonese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Enna(home) | 2-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Paternò(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 CastrumFavara win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Messina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Messina 2-1 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Messina vs CastrumFavara on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CastrumFavara score 0.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Messina score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CastrumFavara | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Messina | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CastrumFavara sit 11th in Serie D - Girone I (38 points from 34 matches) and Messina sit 16th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CastrumFavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 47 | 38 |
| 16 | Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy