CastrumFavara vs Modica: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, Favara
The Footlab AI model makes CastrumFavara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Modica. The most likely score is 1-1. If CastrumFavara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CastrumFavara vs Modica?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate CastrumFavara (1,604) and Modica (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CastrumFavara vs Modica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CastrumFavara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Modica have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 CastrumFavara wins, 0 draws, 1 Modica win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica 1-0 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Modica vs CastrumFavara on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CastrumFavara score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CastrumFavara | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CastrumFavara sit 12th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Modica sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
A question about CastrumFavara vs Modica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CastrumFavara vs Modica?
- The Footlab AI model makes CastrumFavara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Modica.
- Where and when is CastrumFavara vs Modica played?
- CastrumFavara vs Modica is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.