Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calcio Avola wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,683 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara?
On Elo ratings, Calcio Avola has 1,752 points and CastrumFavara 1,695.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calcio Avola
Not enough data to predict the Calcio Avola lineup.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Calcio Avola have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; CastrumFavara have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Modica(home) | 0-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Calcio Avola win, 0 draws, 0 CastrumFavara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | CastrumFavara 0-1 Calcio Avola | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: CastrumFavara vs Calcio Avola on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Calcio Avola score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 10; CastrumFavara score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calcio Avola | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/10 | 4/10 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calcio Avola sit 5th in Serie D - Girone I (16 points from 9 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 14th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calcio Avola | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 14 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara played?
- Calcio Avola vs CastrumFavara is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.