Modica vs CastrumFavara: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Modica vs CastrumFavara?
Modica won 1-0 on September 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 72′625036Modica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Modica have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; CastrumFavara have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sambiase(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gela(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Enna(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Paternò(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; CastrumFavara score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modica sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Modica vs CastrumFavara?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy