Where and when is Modica vs CastrumFavara played?

Modica vs CastrumFavara is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Modica vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Modica

CastrumFavara

The Footlab model makes Modica the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Modica vs CastrumFavara?

Modica win46 %

Draw27 %

CastrumFavara win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Modica have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; CastrumFavara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CastrumFavara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Enna(home)	2-2	Serie D - Girone I
Apr 26, 2026	Paternò(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone I
Apr 19, 2026	Gela(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone I
Apr 12, 2026	AC Palermo(away)	3-0	Serie D - Girone I
Apr 2, 2026	Acireale(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone I

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	CastrumFavara	34	10	8	16	38	47	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Modica vs CastrumFavara?: The Footlab model makes Modica the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for CastrumFavara.
Where and when is Modica vs CastrumFavara played?: Modica vs CastrumFavara is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.