CastrumFavara vs Sambiase: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, Favara
The Footlab AI model makes Sambiase the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sambiase wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CastrumFavara vs Sambiase?
Sambiase starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CastrumFavara vs Sambiase
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Sambiase
Not enough data to predict the Sambiase lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CastrumFavara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sambiase have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 CastrumFavara wins, 2 draws, 2 Sambiase wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara 0-2 Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sambiase 1-1 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CastrumFavara 1-2 Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Sambiase 1-1 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: CastrumFavara vs Sambiase on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CastrumFavara score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sambiase score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CastrumFavara | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sambiase | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CastrumFavara sit 12th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Sambiase sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sambiase | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
A question about CastrumFavara vs Sambiase?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CastrumFavara vs Sambiase?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sambiase the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is CastrumFavara vs Sambiase played?
- CastrumFavara vs Sambiase is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.