Vigor Lamezia vs Modica: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, Lamezia Terme
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Lamezia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Modica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Lamezia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Modica?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Vigor Lamezia (1,719) and Modica (1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Lamezia vs Modica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Lamezia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Lamezia lineup.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Lamezia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Modica have 4, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gela(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Lamezia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Modica score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Lamezia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Modica | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 2/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Lamezia sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (8 points from 9 matches) and Modica sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Vigor Lamezia vs Modica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Lamezia vs Modica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Lamezia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Modica.
- Where and when is Vigor Lamezia vs Modica played?
- Vigor Lamezia vs Modica is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.