Catania vs SS Monopoli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for SS Monopoli. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catania vs SS Monopoli?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Catania (1,871) and SS Monopoli (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; SS Monopoli have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parma(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| May 27, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-4 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Foggia(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Catania win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SS Monopoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | SS Monopoli 1-2 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Catania 4-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SS Monopoli 1-2 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Catania 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Catania 1-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2023 | SS Monopoli 0-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: SS Monopoli vs Catania on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Catania score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SS Monopoli score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| SS Monopoli | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Catania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catania vs SS Monopoli?
- The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for SS Monopoli.
- Where and when is Catania vs SS Monopoli played?
- Catania vs SS Monopoli is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.