Salernitana vs Foggia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Arechi, Salerno
The Footlab model makes Salernitana the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Foggia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salernitana vs Foggia?
Salernitana starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salernitana have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Foggia have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Salernitana win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Foggia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foggia 1-3 Salernitana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Salernitana 2-1 Foggia | Serie C - Girone C |
| May 1, 2019 | Foggia 3-1 Salernitana | Serie B |
| Dec 23, 2018 | Salernitana 1-0 Foggia | Serie B |
| May 12, 2018 | Foggia 1-0 Salernitana | Serie B |
| Dec 21, 2017 | Salernitana 0-3 Foggia | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Foggia vs Salernitana on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salernitana score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Foggia score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Foggia | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salernitana sit 14th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Foggia sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Foggia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salernitana vs Foggia?
- The Footlab model makes Salernitana the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Foggia.
- Where and when is Salernitana vs Foggia played?
- Salernitana vs Foggia is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arechi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.