Match

Salernitana vs Foggia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Arechi, Salerno

SalernitanaFoggia

The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Foggia. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salernitana vs Foggia?

Salernitana starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,690).

60%24%16%
Salernitana winDrawFoggia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Salernitana vs Foggia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Salernitana

4-3-3
  1. 11E. D'Ursi
  2. 10F. Lescano
  3. 7I. Achik
  1. 8M. Tascone
  2. 32M. Vitale
  3. 6K. de Boer
  1. 16M. Llano
  2. 33A. Anastasio
  3. 14L. Villa
  4. 5D. Celiento
  1. 12C. Galeotti

Foggia

4-3-3
  1. 91M. Ravasio
  2. 16H. Haoudi
  3. 28I. Toure
  1. 4A. Gallo
  2. 14F. Zuccon
  3. 8M. Coulibaly
  1. 2G. Todisco
  2. 3M. Seck
  3. 33Timurs Azarovs
  4. 21F. Berra
  1. 22G. Saro

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salernitana have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Foggia have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salernitana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Inter U23(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Nov 1, 2026Savoia(home)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 26, 2026AZ Picerno(away)0-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 17, 2026Scafatese(home)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Casarano(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Foggia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Barletta(home)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Nov 2, 2026Casarano(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 25, 2026Cavese(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 19, 2026Giugliano(away)1-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Potenza(home)1-3Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Salernitana wins, 1 draw, 2 Foggia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Foggia 1-1 SalernitanaSerie C - Girone C
Apr 26, 2026Foggia 1-3 SalernitanaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 20, 2025Salernitana 2-1 FoggiaSerie C - Girone C
May 1, 2019Foggia 3-1 SalernitanaSerie B
Dec 23, 2018Salernitana 1-0 FoggiaSerie B
May 12, 2018Foggia 1-0 SalernitanaSerie B

Last archived meeting: Foggia vs Salernitana on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salernitana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Foggia score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salernitana1.21.3211/158/15
Foggia1.01.457/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salernitana sit 14th in Serie C - Girone C (15 points from 13 matches) and Foggia sit 16th (15 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Salernitana13364151715
16Foggia13436131615

A question about Salernitana vs Foggia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salernitana vs Foggia?
The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Foggia.
Where and when is Salernitana vs Foggia played?
Salernitana vs Foggia is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arechi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salernitana and Foggia