Match

Crotone vs Sorrento: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone

CrotoneSorrento

The Footlab AI model makes Sorrento the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sorrento wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crotone vs Sorrento?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Crotone (1,723) and Sorrento (1,690).

34%27%39%
Crotone winDrawSorrento win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crotone vs Sorrento

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crotone

4-2-3-1
  1. 96M. Zunno
  1. 99F. Crapisto
  2. 80Filippo Grosso
  3. 31P. Rodriguez
  4. 5L. Russo
  5. 8I. Torres
  1. 13N. Armini
  2. 26G. Tanco
  3. 63A. Veltri
  4. 23F. Groppelli
  1. 12A. Martino

Sorrento

3-4-2-1
  1. 19A. Bolzan
  1. 28L. Capezzi
  2. 8M. Cuccurullo
  3. 3L. Crecco
  4. 21A. Potenza
  5. 23S. Cangianiello
  6. 99F. Marchesi
  1. 33A. Viscardi
  2. 27C. Loreto
  3. 32S. Paglino
  1. 22S. Harrasser

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sorrento have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crotone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Catania(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Salernitana(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026SS Monopoli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Inter U23(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sorrento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Scafatese(away)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Casarano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Foggia(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Bari(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Cavese(away)3-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crotone wins, 1 draw, 3 Sorrento wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Sorrento 1-0 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Mar 22, 2026Sorrento 2-2 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Nov 25, 2025Sorrento 1-3 CrotoneCoppa Italia Serie C
Nov 15, 2025Crotone 3-1 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Feb 1, 2025Sorrento 2-1 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Sep 25, 2024Crotone 1-2 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Sorrento vs Crotone on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sorrento score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crotone1.21.7110/157/15
Sorrento1.20.985/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crotone sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 9 matches) and Sorrento sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sorrento9603141018
20Crotone913510150

A question about Crotone vs Sorrento?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crotone vs Sorrento?
The Footlab AI model makes Sorrento the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Crotone.
Where and when is Crotone vs Sorrento played?
Crotone vs Sorrento is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ezio Scida, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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