Catanzaro vs Modena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Modena?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Catanzaro (1,801) and Modena (1,830).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Catanzaro vs Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 98N. Mosti
- 30G. Alesi
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 62R. Frosinini
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 3M. Imperiale
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catanzaro have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Modena have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Catanzaro wins, 2 draws, 2 Modena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Catanzaro 2-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Modena 1-2 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Modena 2-1 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Catanzaro 2-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Modena 1-3 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Catanzaro 1-2 Modena | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Catanzaro score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catanzaro sit 19th in Serie B (3 points from 6 matches) and Modena sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Catanzaro vs Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catanzaro vs Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Catanzaro vs Modena played?
- Catanzaro vs Modena is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.