Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Drax Hall Sports Complex, Saint Ann's Bay
The Footlab AI model makes Cavalier the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Tivoli Gardens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cavalier wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens?
Cavalier starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,560).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cavalier
4-3-3- 9N. Hamilton
- 17Romarion Thomas
- 25D. Williams
- 13D. Allen
- 4S. Watson
- 14S. San Millán
- 8A. Reid
- 3J. Laing
- 3D. Talbert
- 3J. Laing
- 40Nathaniel Francis
Tivoli Gardens
Not enough data to predict the Tivoli Gardens lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 08:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalier have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tivoli Gardens have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Molynes United(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montego Bay United(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arnett Gardens(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dunbeholden(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Racing United(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tru-Juice(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chapelton(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Treasure Beach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cavalier wins, 3 draws, 1 Tivoli Gardens win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Tivoli Gardens 0-2 Cavalier | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Cavalier 1-2 Tivoli Gardens | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Tivoli Gardens 0-2 Cavalier | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Tivoli Gardens 1-1 Cavalier | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Cavalier 0-0 Tivoli Gardens | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Tivoli Gardens 1-1 Cavalier | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tivoli Gardens vs Cavalier on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cavalier score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tivoli Gardens score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalier | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tivoli Gardens | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavalier sit 7th in Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and Tivoli Gardens sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cavalier the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Tivoli Gardens.
- Where and when is Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens played?
- Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Drax Hall Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.