Caxias vs Floresta: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie CSecond Stage - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Caxias vs Floresta?
Caxias and Floresta drew 1-1 on October 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′Jhonatan RibeiroCaxias
- 79′RuanFloresta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Floresta have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | São Bernardo(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Londrina(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Londrina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2025 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Floresta(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Londrina(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 21, 2025 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Caxias(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Caxias win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Floresta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Floresta 0-0 Caxias | Serie C |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Caxias 1-0 Floresta | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Floresta 2-1 Caxias | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Floresta score 0.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Floresta | 0.7 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caxias sit 14th in Serie C (24 points from 18 matches) and Floresta sit 11th (27 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Floresta | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 27 |
| 14 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy