Cayón vs Castro: result 1-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Astobiza, Sarón, Santa María de Cayón
Full time
What was the result of Cayón vs Castro?
Cayón and Castro drew 1-1 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 58′566896Castro
- 68′566897Cayón
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cayón have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Castro have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Montañas Pas(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Escobedo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Montañas Pas(home) | 9-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Escobedo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Vimenor(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Sámano(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2025 | Tropezón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cayón wins, 2 draws, 0 Castro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Castro 0-0 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Cayón 1-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Cayón 2-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Castro 2-2 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cayón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Castro score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Castro | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cayón sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (11 points from 6 matches) and Castro sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cayón | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Cayón vs Castro?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy