Match

Real Espana vs CD Marathon: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Morazán, San Pedro Sula

Real EspanaCD Marathon

The Footlab AI model makes Real Espana the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for CD Marathon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Espana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Espana vs CD Marathon?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Real Espana (1,796) and CD Marathon (1,780).

46%27%27%
Real Espana winDrawCD Marathon win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Espana vs CD Marathon

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Espana

4-3-3
  1. 11E. Hernández
  2. 18D. Vuelto
  3. 54M. Arana
  1. 6D. García
  2. 2J. Ramos
  3. 10J. Benavidez
  1. 25M. Pereira
  2. 5F. Flores
  3. 28C. Mejía
  4. 39D. Cacho
  1. 23R. López

CD Marathon

4-1-4-1
  1. 11N. Messiniti
  1. 8T. Sorto
  2. 9B. Farioli
  3. 10D. Ramírez
  4. 72Y. Moreno
  5. 16F. E. Martinez Hernandez
  1. 2H. Figueroa
  2. 4J. Rivera
  3. 19J. Aguilera
  4. 16S. Agurcia
  1. 1J. Rougier

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Espana have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; CD Marathon have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Espana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Atletico Independiente(away)1-1Liga Nacional
Nov 5, 2026Génesis(away)1-1Liga Nacional
Oct 31, 2026Juticalpa(home)3-1Liga Nacional
Oct 24, 2026Platense FC(home)4-3Liga Nacional
Oct 16, 2026CD Olimpia(away)1-2Liga Nacional
CD Marathon
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Atlético Choloma(home)2-0Liga Nacional
Nov 6, 2026Platense FC(home)3-1Liga Nacional
Nov 1, 2026CD Motagua(away)0-2Liga Nacional
Oct 28, 2026Alianza(away)0-0CONCACAF Central American Cup
Oct 25, 2026Atletico Independiente(away)2-2Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Espana wins, 3 draws, 1 CD Marathon win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026CD Marathon 1-1 Real EspanaLiga Nacional
May 19, 2026Real Espana 1-1 CD MarathonLiga Nacional
May 3, 2026CD Marathon 1-0 Real EspanaLiga Nacional
Apr 3, 2026Real Espana 2-0 CD MarathonLiga Nacional
Feb 8, 2026CD Marathon 0-1 Real EspanaLiga Nacional
Oct 16, 2025CD Marathon 0-0 Real EspanaLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: CD Marathon vs Real Espana on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Espana score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CD Marathon score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Espana1.70.9510/155/15
CD Marathon1.81.168/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Espana sit 2nd in Liga Nacional (29 points from 14 matches) and CD Marathon sit 3rd (28 points from 14 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Real Espana14851241229
3CD Marathon14842231228

A question about Real Espana vs CD Marathon?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Espana the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for CD Marathon.
Where and when is Real Espana vs CD Marathon played?
Real Espana vs CD Marathon is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Morazán, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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